The Seven Pillars of ICO Investing

Tim Enneking is managing director at Crypto Asset Management. Robert Brauer and Andrew Kang are members of the Crypto Asset Management ICO Analysis team.

In addition to the hundreds of ICOs being launched every month, our management company Crypto Asset Management (CAM), also receives around a dozen emails per day from new companies planning on launching crypto tokens to raise capital. CAM, through the various funds and share classes it manages, invests in less than one out of every 100 ICOs that comes across its desk.

Out of absolute necessity, we have developed an analytical framework for ICOs, which CAM applies to every such opportunity it evaluates.

In this article we explain what we call The Seven Pillars Of ICO Investing™, which we’ve rigorously crafted over several years of investing in crypto and other assets.

The critical element which we are searching for is an experienced team, ideally with a strong track record in developing and launching blockchain technology. In addition, the team should have experience in the market it is targeting. A team that is not only competent, but capable of developing, completing and/or expanding the project is paramount to its success.

A couple of additional issues to consider are:

Without a compelling, realistic and timely idea for a blockchain-based enterprise, the investment will almost certainly fail.

A few of the key things we look for are:

There is clearly an interrelationship between Pillars 1 and 2. However, if we had to choose between them, we would clearly rather invest in an “A” team working on a “B” idea than a “B” team working on an “A” idea.

A talented group of people are the lifeblood of any business, and crypto is no different.

In the cut-throat business world we live in, the only thing that matters is results.

A brilliant idea and great team are nice, but execution is everything. Is there a working prototype or does your idea only exist in a nebulously written white paper? We prefer to invest in a product that already exists to some degree (Presearch, Basic Attention Token, Superbloom, FunFair), whether in the crypto space or analogously in the fiat space (Wax).

Finally, we look for some sort of proof that the company will be able to hit future milestones.

This pillar is essential given the current and growing regulatory uncertainty in the industry.

Almost every week, there is news of a governmental agency in one country or another taking regulatory action or making a new statement around ICO governance. Of course, almost as often, there is news of a different country considering crypto-favorable legislation. Comprehensive regulation in many marketplaces is on the horizon and it is imperative to ensure that ICOs vigilantly navigate the landscape to the best of their abilities.

The threshold issue is jurisdiction: in what country is or will the ICO company be incorporated and the ICO executed? This determines the rules that will apply to the company’s actions and the ICO.

A significant number of the ICOs we analyze do not actually need the blockchain, tokenization or a public sale of their tokens to be successful.

When this is an issue, it is usually the last — public sale — which is not necessary. (NASDAQ’s settlement system is an excellent example of where tokenization is a brilliant idea but a public market would be superfluous, or even counterproductive.) Also, they are sometimes glorified apps that could be built without creating a specific token, despite how much “utility” the founders may claim their token provides.

With the enormous amount of value exchanging hands over the blockchain and the prospect of getting “free” money without giving up any equity, it’s not hard to imagine why many industrious entrepreneurs try to identify any possible reason to launch an ICO.

That being said, one of the crucial things that every investment we make must have is a legitimate reason for “tokenizing” their business, and for creating a public market for that token (OmiseGo, Icon, Raiden Network, Cosmos).

Similar to traditional venture capital investing, the financial underpinnings of the deal ultimately determine the decision to invest. The characteristics of an ICO can have important implications on the expected upside of the token.

This can be split out into two categories — ICO mechanics and ICO deal structure.

Even if we believe a team is able to create a great product that incorporates a token with an imperative use case, this does not necessarily mean that we will want to hold the token or invest in the ICO. A token must additionally have a mechanism to drive price appreciation.

A few of the price drivers we look for include:

Please note that, as a general rule, we are not in favor of asset-backed tokens as an investment vehicle at this time. There are no real drivers of price formation after an initial, relatively small boost for convenience (Sandcoin, OneGram) and the opportunity cost is consequently too high (there are far greater returns elsewhere).

Importantly, the effect of implementing strong incentives to hold is multiplicative. Not only will the price increase be driven by the inherent tokenomics design, but also by speculation directly related to the implementation of these drivers.

Despite the incredible number of fly-by-night operations in the world of ICOs, it is certain that token generation events are here to stay. Such events are completely transforming the traditional venture capital industry and, for savvy investors, are creating fortunes literally overnight. For unsophisticated or undisciplined investors, ICOs are a minefield that should probably be avoided. However, for those who perform proper due diligence, the odds increase for realizing breathtaking returns on your investments.

This article is an abbreviated summary of our process for investing in ICOs.

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